Market Continues to Descent; Havells Q2 Result Beats, Maruti Missed Estimates

Nifty, -0.5%; Sensex, -0.4%; Nifty Midcap, -0.4%; Nifty Smallcap, -0.9%; Model Portfolio, +0.1%

Market Pulse Rally Attempt

Nifty gapped lower this morning, following global cues. After finding support near 11,600, Nifty moved 100 points off-lows in the first hour itself. After trading with modest losses, Nifty slipped in the second half and closed 50bps lower. VIX has increased to 24 from a low of 17 at the start of October. Nifty is trading at 1% and 9% above its 50- and 200-DMA, respectively. On the sectoral front, barring Nifty IT (+0.3%), all other indices closed in the red. The selling pressure was not just concentrated in one sector. Nifty Auto, Bank, Financial Services, Pharma, Metal, and FMCG closed 50–100bps lower. Of 2,213 stocks traded, 649 advanced, 1,169 declined, and the rest remained unchanged.

Looking forward, we would like Nifty to reclaim its 21-DMA. If it fails to reclaim the 21-DMA, 50-DMA (11,542) can act as strong support. We will continue to monitor general conditions and the behavior of leading stocks, looking for evidence that a real move is commencing. During this time, one should look for stocks with quality fundamentals, RS line trending higher, and breaking out from consolidation areas.